Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.426287 1.626806 1.845239 2.100845 2.391768 2.712617 3.093391
2025-02-02 1.169042 1.454812 1.793728 2.225302 2.760424 3.402474 4.231986
2025-02-09 1.017481 1.345021 1.757023 2.313303 3.045187 3.976027 5.251480
2025-02-16 0.893691 1.241375 1.700335 2.350510 3.248534 4.446558 6.169168
2025-02-23 0.773358 1.121475 1.600672 2.308446 3.328176 4.746160 6.872193
2025-03-02 0.684626 1.031843 1.528085 2.288958 3.427434 5.070419 7.627896
2025-03-09 0.619682 0.967444 1.481793 2.297820 3.561697 5.448506 8.487745
2025-03-16 0.564966 0.911295 1.440052 2.305914 3.690557 5.823556 9.370022
2025-03-23 0.521377 0.867089 1.410827 2.327994 3.839241 6.236638 10.342731
2025-03-30 0.468828 0.802543 1.342354 2.278744 3.865902 6.454502 11.014051
2025-04-06 0.423297 0.744749 1.278767 2.230055 3.886319 6.659645 11.676223
2025-04-13 0.378793 0.684131 1.204449 2.155153 3.853344 6.769177 12.179134
2025-04-20 0.372025 0.689759 1.245171 2.286113 4.193790 7.552678 13.945068
2025-04-27 0.365214 0.694661 1.285018 2.419193 4.550321 8.395638 15.897214
2025-05-04 0.353216 0.688566 1.304021 2.514923 4.845566 9.151064 17.752802
2025-05-11 0.334717 0.668189 1.294472 2.555362 5.039203 9.733203 19.329265
2025-05-18 0.307241 0.627625 1.242924 2.509641 5.061717 9.992059 20.298401
2025-05-25 0.285351 0.596049 1.205788 2.488459 5.129541 10.341731 21.474757
2025-06-01 0.268878 0.573888 1.185123 2.498091 5.259103 10.821472 22.952980
2025-06-08 0.253708 0.552992 1.165085 2.506889 5.386925 11.306549 24.481852
2025-06-15 0.241231 0.536651 1.152924 2.530889 5.548089 11.871787 26.227128
2025-06-22 0.222681 0.505382 1.106657 2.477356 5.537727 12.075394 27.205819
2025-06-29 0.205795 0.476263 1.062506 2.424434 5.523656 12.268739 28.176308